Every game
has a double.
MarketMatch finds the past games that looked exactly like the one you're watching, then shows what the market usually charged for them, next to the price right now. When the two disagree, you see it before the price moves.
Three numbers, one sentence
No models to trust, no black box. Just the games that were in this exact spot before.
The live market price
Polymarket and Kalshi, averaged into one number, updated every few seconds for every game on tonight's slate.
What games like this cost
We match on opening odds, score margin and time left, pull the 60 closest past games, and read what the market charged at that same moment.
When now and usually disagree
A gap that is big enough, consistent enough, and backed by how those games actually ended gets a clear call. Everything else says so plainly.
Pricing
Less than a beer at the arena. Every game, every night. Cancel any time from your account page.
- Every NBA game, live
- Similar past games for any moment
- Scenario explorer
- Edge calls with confidence
- Everything in monthly
- The whole season, playoffs included
- More sports as we add them
- Priority on new features
Cancel any time. Billed by Stripe. You sign in to the iPhone app with the same email you pay with.
Questions
Is this betting advice?
No. MarketMatch shows you historical prices and outcomes for games that resembled the one in front of you. What you do with that is your call, and past games do not guarantee anything about this one.
Where do the prices come from?
Polymarket and Kalshi, the two largest regulated prediction markets for NBA games. We average them into one market price and show the split when they differ.
What makes a game "similar"?
The opening odds, the score margin and the time left on the clock. For every moment we find the 60 past games closest on those, from two full seasons of play-by-play, and only games played before the one you're looking at.
How do I get the app?
Subscribe here, then sign in inside the iPhone app with the same email. We send a 6-digit code, no password to remember. The app is on TestFlight today and headed to the App Store.
Can I cancel?
Yes, any time from your account page. You keep access until the end of the period you paid for.